Our Thoughts

Market Risk Report as of July 11, 2022

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, It’s taken nine weeks of tough market action to see the SignalPoint Market Risk Indicator drop to its Median value.

Market Risk Report as of July 4, 2022

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, Well, it wasn’t the best first half for the markets this year. The SignalPoint Market Risk Indicator dropped another point to 27, just one point above its Median value. The MRI Oscillator shows minus 1 indicating only a modest amount of downside risk pressure at this point. Speculation remains […]

Market Risk Report as of June 27, 2022

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, Like a kid in a life jacket, the markets were dunked and then resurfaced quickly last week. Were there reasons for this? Probably, but what is interesting is what is the effect for serious long term investors. Our Market Risk Indicator (MRI) was stubbornly giving cautious signals for the […]

Market Risk Report as of June 20, 2022

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, Markets had another rather bad week while I was away. I guess I shouldn’t do that anymore. Courtesy of Franklin/Templeton we see the following:

Market Risk Report as of June 13, 2022

Man looking at directional arrows on notebook paper

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, It wasn’t a great week and Friday wasn’t the best way to close things. While June is putting some further downward pressure on the markets, our various strategies remain prepared to add to the positions should Buy targets be reached. Here’s how the SignalPoint Market Risk Indicator looks as […]

Market Risk Report as of June 6, 2022

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, My job would be so much easier if Markets behaved more like clockworks than accumulation of random events. Certainly the concept of Reversion to the Mean is known and understood by market participants but why then do markets drift so far from Mean time and again? It’s been the […]

Market Risk Report as of May 30, 2022

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, “Sell May, Go Away” Frequently we heard this chant Can we come back now? As it turned out, May wasn’t the most pleasant month for many investors. Those who had carried margin positions into the month had a “new calling” by month’s end. Some may have followed the above […]

Market Risk Report as of May 23, 2022

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, How do you know when the market bottom has been found? It’s as difficult as calling a market top, to be sure. However, Bear markets tend to be severe and quick by comparison to euphoria Bulls. Of note this week is that our Equal Weight ETFs in three of […]

Market Risk Report as of May 16, 2022

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, Can it be true? Could the SignalPoint Market Risk Indicator finally have fallen back to its Neutral territory?

Market Risk Report as of May 9, 2022

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, As we’ve seen now for the last few weeks, market risk as we measure it with the SignalPoint Market Risk Indicator (MRI) has been dropping. Again this week we see the various MRI components moving lower in their own ranges which brings the overall MRI downward. Data lag is […]