Our Thoughts

Market Risk Report as of May 1, 2023

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, The continuing mis-match of market headlines and index movements can be confusing. That is part of the reason the Market Risk Indicator is of value – it offers an opinion-free view of market statistics relative to the financial news. This week shows the S&P 500 rising slightly as market […]

Market Risk Report as of April 24, 2023

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, Reporting on the Wind Conditions doesn’t change the wind’s strength or direction. I think the same is true of reporting on Market Risk. However, we will take actions based upon wind conditions that might make our day go better. This should be possible relative to market risk as well. […]

Market Risk Report as of April 16, 2023

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, It seems as long as corporate earnings hold up, so will the markets. At least last week’s activity supports that idea. The SignalPoint Market Risk Indicator crossed the rounding threshold with last week’s data and is officially borderline “cautious” this week. Two components remained unchanged this week with one […]

Signal 10

Fact Sheet – Signal 10 – Q1 2023

Market Risk Report as of April 10, 2023

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, If headlines are indicative of investor sentiment and not the authors’ leanings then we should be concerned. Those reading financial papers and watching such news have seen significant negativity in recent reporting. Will we have a recession? Will earnings go negative? Or will we see a flat period of […]

Market Risk Report as of April 3, 2023

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale, A steady risk signal again this week seems to show the recent bank situation has stabilized. Value Line’s median P/E for all stocks with earnings is also unchanged this week at 16.7 as is the 13 Week Treasury Coupon Rate at 4.81%/yr. This kept SignalPoint’s Relative Valuation Index unchanged […]