Market Risk Report as of March 14, 2022

Tom Veale
March 14, 2022

From Chief Investment Officer Tom Veale,

Inflation is showing up as being statistically important in our Relative Valuation Index. It’s now so far above the current 13 Week Treasury Coupon rate as to drive this component far above its median value. While just one component of our Market Risk Indicator it and two other components rose in their own risk assessments this week. This has pushed our MRI upward as can be seen here:

We continue to watch for opportunities to build inventory in those shares and sectors that are currently out of favor. We see very few areas to be reducing inventory with the exception of the Energy Sector.

Best regards,
Tom Veale

Our Market Risk Indicator is now at 36, up two full points from last week. The MRI Oscillator sits at +10 indicating very high risk pressure on the markets. Two components are currently in their bearish territory while two are neutral.

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